Chengdu Rongcheng holds a narrow three-point lead over Dalian Yingbo atop the Chinese Super League table after 29 rounds, yet recent results have narrowed the gap in trader sentiment. A 1-0 home defeat to Dalian on October 24 proved pivotal: Chengdu missed a first-half penalty and saw a late equalizer disallowed, while Dalian’s Mamadou Traoré header secured a vital away win and kept its title hopes intact. Dalian enters the final matchday with strong momentum, having won four of its prior five fixtures, and faces Tianjin Jinmen Tiger at home. Chengdu travels to Shandong Taishan needing at least a draw or favorable results elsewhere to claim its first CSL crown. The implied probabilities reflect Chengdu’s superior goal difference and consistency alongside Dalian’s late surge and favorable schedule position.