The brief window remaining before 2027, combined with Senate procedural safeguards, underpins trader expectations that no STF justice will face removal. Over 100 impeachment requests remain pending, focused mainly on Alexandre de Moraes amid recent Banco Master inquiries and prior fake news proceedings, yet Senate President Davi Alcolumbre controls advancement and has signaled opposition to moving them forward. Lula’s reelection provides institutional counterweight, while a two-thirds Senate vote threshold and Gilmar Mendes’ 2025 injunction raising preliminary quorums add further barriers. No STF justice has ever been removed through this process. Shifts could still arise from rapid Senate leadership changes after February 2027 or unforeseen developments in ongoing investigations that unify sufficient votes before year-end.