Record early voting and mail-in ballot requests in Maryland have surged well above 2022 gubernatorial levels, with over 604,000 in-person early votes and hundreds of thousands of mail ballots processed by late October, reflecting heightened voter engagement driven by local issues such as data centers, cost of living, and Question 3 on redistricting alongside national political factors. This momentum, combined with high reported enthusiasm in polls and a safe Democratic contest featuring incumbent Wes Moore, supports trader consensus around the 2.15M–2.3M turnout range as the most probable outcome. Forecasts projecting totals near 2.5 million incorporate these trends, though Election Day participation remains the key variable that could shift final figures within the leading brackets.