Meloni’s government marked a postwar record of stability by reaching four years in office in late October 2026, with the prime minister repeatedly stating her intent to serve until the scheduled 2027 parliamentary elections. Recent polling shows the centre-right coalition trailing a broad centre-left alliance by roughly one to two points, while a new far-right party led by Roberto Vannacci has drawn support from Meloni’s own camp and complicated alliance math ahead of the vote. Street protests over living costs, trucker blockades tied to fuel prices, and recent urban unrest have highlighted pockets of public discontent, yet no parliamentary defections or coalition fractures have emerged to threaten the current majority. The recently approved electoral reform, which rewards larger pre-election alliances, now shapes coalition calculations as parties prepare for the contest.
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