Will Venable’s historic turnaround with the Chicago White Sox drives overwhelming trader consensus at 93.3% implied probability for AL Manager of the Year. In his second season, Venable guided a roster coming off three straight 100-loss campaigns to an 84-78 record, the AL Central lead for 96 days, a Wild Card berth, and a sweep of the Astros before a five-game ALDS loss to Cleveland. The Sox achieved the first postseason appearance following consecutive 100-loss seasons in MLB history while posting back-to-back 19-win improvements, a rare feat matched by only two Hall of Fame managers since 1901. Kevin Cash and Stephen Vogt trail far behind at under 3% each. The BBWAA vote, scheduled for November, could shift only if voters prioritize a different regular-season narrative despite the White Sox’s unprecedented improvement from 41 wins in 2024.