Virginia’s Supreme Court ruling in May 2026 nullified the April voter-approved constitutional amendment that would have temporarily authorized the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new congressional map outside the decennial process. The 4-3 decision focused on procedural requirements for the referendum, leaving the existing district lines—under which Democrats hold six seats and Republicans five—intact for the November midterms. With primaries and candidate filing deadlines already passed or imminent, traders assign overwhelming probability to continued use of the current map. A successful U.S. Supreme Court appeal or last-minute legislative workaround remain theoretically possible but face steep procedural and timing barriers before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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