Polymarket

JD Vance 18.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12.4%

Gavin Newsom 12.3%

Jon Ossoff 10.3%

$724,224,035 Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Earn 3.25%

JD Vance

$18,106,102 Vol.

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$14,066,015 Vol.

12%

Gavin Newsom

$18,955,024 Vol.

12%

Jon Ossoff

$6,207,007 Vol.

10%

Marco Rubio

$13,226,101 Vol.

10%

Kamala Harris

$9,511,526 Vol.

Josh Shapiro

$7,676,669 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg

$8,621,890 Vol.

Ron DeSantis

$12,795,410 Vol.

James Talarico

$8,136,913 Vol.

Andy Beshear

$19,443,170 Vol.

Raphael Warnock

$1,297,194 Vol.

JD Vance 18.4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12.4%

Gavin Newsom 12.3%

Jon Ossoff 10.3%

$724,224,035 Vol.

Nov 7, 2028

Earn 3.25%

JD Vance

$18,106,102 Vol.

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$14,066,015 Vol.

12%

Gavin Newsom

$18,955,024 Vol.

12%

Jon Ossoff

$6,207,007 Vol.

10%

Marco Rubio

$13,226,101 Vol.

10%

Kamala Harris

$9,511,526 Vol.

Josh Shapiro

$7,676,669 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg

$8,621,890 Vol.

Ron DeSantis

$12,795,410 Vol.

James Talarico

$8,136,913 Vol.

Andy Beshear

$19,443,170 Vol.

Raphael Warnock

$1,297,194 Vol.

Donald Trump

$10,790,052 Vol.

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,530,399 Vol.

Tucker Carlson

$14,464,034 Vol.

Mark Kelly

$870,294 Vol.

Wes Moore

$12,846,118 Vol.

Thomas Massie

$8,609,287 Vol.

JB Pritzker

$13,225,929 Vol.

Ro Khanna

$10,993,689 Vol.

Ivanka Trump

$8,739,121 Vol.

Donald Trump Jr.

$14,111,466 Vol.

Ted Cruz

$805,601 Vol.

Rahm Emanuel

$483,302 Vol.

<1%

Glenn Youngkin

$28,792,542 Vol.

<1%

Elon Musk

$28,280,562 Vol.

<1%

Gretchen Whitmer

$15,768,510 Vol.

<1%

Michelle Obama

$19,639,379 Vol.

<1%

Jamie Dimon

$11,134,928 Vol.

<1%

Tulsi Gabbard

$35,585,361 Vol.

<1%

Greg Abbott

$35,457,677 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Smith

$33,755,682 Vol.

<1%

Nikki Haley

$30,354,888 Vol.

<1%

Tim Walz

$44,942,173 Vol.

<1%

Vivek Ramaswamy

$38,145,970 Vol.

<1%

LeBron James

$54,988,400 Vol.

<1%

Kim Kardashian

$40,416,139 Vol.

<1%

Zohran Mamdani

$22,576,520 Vol.

<1%

Eric Trump

$19,014,079 Vol.

<1%

Pete Hegseth

$10,551,634 Vol.

<1%

Jalen Brunson

$2,811,627 Vol.

<1%

Abigail Spanberger

$959,797 Vol.

<1%

Hakeem Jeffries

$281,824 Vol.

<1%

Elissa Slotkin

$894,638 Vol.

<1%

Adam Schiff

$949,192 Vol.

<1%

Josh Stein

$1,042,396 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$853,737 Vol.

<1%

Candace Owens

$585,918 Vol.

<1%

Tim Scott

$395,221 Vol.

<1%

Mike Johnson

$394,066 Vol.

<1%

Doug Burgum

$414,967 Vol.

<1%

Tom Cotton

$1,632,989 Vol.

<1%

John N. Kennedy

$407,310 Vol.

<1%

Rick Scott

$514,514 Vol.

<1%

James Fishback

$169,080 Vol.

<1%

Market Opened: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Volume

$724,224,035

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Market Opened

Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2f5e3684c...

Volume

$724,224,035

End Date

Nov 7, 2028

Market Opened

Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2f5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Presidential Election Winner 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 55+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 18%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Presidential Election Winner 2028" has generated $724.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028," browse the 55+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" is "JD Vance" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Presidential Election Winner 2028." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $724.2 million traded on “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 18¢ for "JD Vance" in the "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 18% chance that "JD Vance" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 18¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 82¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market is a long-term prediction with a resolution date of Nov 7, 2028 — that's roughly over 2 years away. Long-term markets on Polymarket often see their odds shift significantly as events unfold, making them useful for tracking evolving sentiment. You can trade at any time or bookmark this page to follow the odds over the months and years ahead.

The "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market has an active community of 1,066 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Presidential Election Winner 2028." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (1,066)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Presidential Election Winner 2028" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Presidential Election Winner 2028" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

What are the current odds for "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

How will "Presidential Election Winner 2028" be resolved?

Can I follow "Presidential Election Winner 2028" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

What does a price of 18¢ for "JD Vance" mean?

When does the "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market close?

What are traders saying about "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

What is Polymarket?

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (1,066)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Presidential Election Winner 2028" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Presidential Election Winner 2028" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

What are the current odds for "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

How will "Presidential Election Winner 2028" be resolved?

Can I follow "Presidential Election Winner 2028" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

What does a price of 18¢ for "JD Vance" mean?

When does the "Presidential Election Winner 2028" market close?

What are traders saying about "Presidential Election Winner 2028"?

What is Polymarket?