Buffalo Bills hold an 82% implied probability as AFC East champion in trader consensus, driven by their 6-1 record and plus-52 point differential that places them two games ahead of the Patriots in division standings. The Bills’ recent 36-10 home win over the Ravens improved their mark while showcasing a top-ranked offense averaging 33.3 points per game. New England sits at 4-3 with solid conference play but trails significantly in the division race. The Jets at 2-6 and Dolphins at 1-5 face steep deficits in wins and point differential, leaving minimal realistic paths to the title. Schedule strength and remaining divisional matchups continue to shape the market’s assessment of these probabilities.