Jacksonville Jaguars hold an 80% implied probability as AFC South champion, driven by their 4-2 record, league-leading +50 point differential, and defense allowing just 17.3 points per game through seven weeks. The Jaguars extended their cushion during a Week 7 bye while Houston, Indianapolis, and Tennessee each lost, creating a two-and-a-half-game gap. Houston sits at 2-5 despite a favorable remaining schedule and several close losses, reflected in its 17.5% consensus share. The Colts (2-5) and Titans (1-6) trail further, hampered by offensive struggles and negative differentials of -26 and -48, respectively, limiting their title odds to single digits or lower. Trader pricing aligns with current standings and recent form rather than preseason expectations.