The Dallas Cowboys lead the 2026 season series 1-0 following their 37-20 Week 2 win at AT&T Stadium, where Dak Prescott threw four touchdown passes and CeeDee Lamb posted 153 receiving yards. Jayden Daniels’ recurring left elbow dislocation has limited Washington’s offense and contributed to the Commanders’ 1-3-1 record. The Week 18 rematch at Northwest Stadium gives the home team a realistic path to a split, supporting the elevated tie probability in trader pricing, while Dallas’ historical series dominance and Prescott’s efficiency keep the outright Cowboys outcome as the narrow consensus leader despite the Cowboys’ own recent defensive and turnover issues.