Polls ahead of Spain’s November 29 snap general election show the center-right Partido Popular maintaining a consistent lead over the governing PSOE, with recent aggregates placing PP near 31 percent and PSOE near 27 percent. The election was called in early October after the failure of housing measures in parliament, shifting focus to affordability concerns that Sánchez hoped would mobilize progressive voters. However, PP and Vox together project an absolute majority in nearly all simulations, while the 2023 investiture bloc trails far behind. Traders have priced this polling gap into the market, with PP reflecting the strongest implied probability of emerging as the largest party or leading the next government. The campaign remains open until November 27, leaving room for final shifts in turnout or regional dynamics.