Polymarket

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Hans Niemann 39.0%

Hikaru Nakamura 34%

Magnus Carlsen 18%

Alireza Firouzja 14%

NEW

Nov 17, 2026

Hans Niemann

$50 Vol.

39%

Hikaru Nakamura

$12 Vol.

34%

Magnus Carlsen

$13 Vol.

18%

Alireza Firouzja

$0 Vol.

14%

Javokhir Sindarov

$0 Vol.

14%

Nihal Sarin

$0 Vol.

14%

Sina Movahed

$0 Vol.

12%

Jose Martinez

$0 Vol.

11%

Arjun Erigaisi

$0 Vol.

10%

Aleksei Sarana

$0 Vol.

10%

Jules Moussard

$0 Vol.

Parham Maghsoodloo

$0 Vol.

Hans Niemann 39.0%

Hikaru Nakamura 34%

Magnus Carlsen 18%

Alireza Firouzja 14%

NEW

Nov 17, 2026

Hans Niemann

$50 Vol.

39%

Hikaru Nakamura

$12 Vol.

34%

Magnus Carlsen

$13 Vol.

18%

Alireza Firouzja

$0 Vol.

14%

Javokhir Sindarov

$0 Vol.

14%

Nihal Sarin

$0 Vol.

14%

Sina Movahed

$0 Vol.

12%

Jose Martinez

$0 Vol.

11%

Arjun Erigaisi

$0 Vol.

10%

Aleksei Sarana

$0 Vol.

10%

Jules Moussard

$0 Vol.

Parham Maghsoodloo

$0 Vol.

Le Tuan Minh

$0 Vol.

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$0 Vol.

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

$0 Vol.

Dmitry Andreikin

$0 Vol.

Haowen Xue

$0 Vol.

Jeffery Xiong

$0 Vol.

Levon Aronian

$0 Vol.

Nikolas Theodorou

$0 Vol.

Pranav Venkatesh

$0 Vol.

Sam Sevian

$0 Vol.

Christopher Yoo

$0 Vol.

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$0 Vol.

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$16 Vol.

Wesley So

$0 Vol.

Dincer Tasdogen

$0 Vol.

Faustino Oro

$0 Vol.

Frederik Svane

$0 Vol.

Matthias Bluebaum

$0 Vol.

Oleksandr Bortnyk

$0 Vol.

Pranesh Munirethinam

$0 Vol.

Renato Terry Lujan

$0 Vol.

Rudik Makarian

$0 Vol.

Rasmus Svane

$0 Vol.

Sergey Sklokin

$0 Vol.

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

$0 Vol.

Shamsiddin Vokhidov

$0 Vol.

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

$0 Vol.

Gukesh Dommaraju

$0 Vol.

Wei Yi

$0 Vol.

Vladimir Fedoseev

$0 Vol.

Andrew Tang

$0 Vol.

Denis Lazavik

$0 Vol.

Fabiano Caruana

$0 Vol.

Haik Martirosyan

$0 Vol.

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$0 Vol.

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$0 Vol.

Vincent Keymer

$0 Vol.

Aravindh Chithambaram

$0 Vol.

Dau Khuong Duy

$0 Vol.

Vladislav Artemiev

$0 Vol.

Awonder Liang

$0 Vol.

Andrey Esipenko

$0 Vol.

Alexander Grischuk

$0 Vol.

Aleksandar Indjic

$0 Vol.

Aleksandr Shimanov

$0 Vol.

Benjamin Bok

$0 Vol.

Bardiya Daneshvar

$0 Vol.

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

$0 Vol.

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

$0 Vol.

David Anton

$0 Vol.

Volen Dyulgerov

$216 Vol.

Ding Liren

$216 Vol.

Brandon Jacobson

$216 Vol.

Tuomas Turunen

$216 Vol.

<1%

Market Opened: Oct 27, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Volume

$955

End Date

Nov 17, 2026

Market Opened

Oct 27, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Volume

$955

End Date

Nov 17, 2026

Market Opened

Oct 27, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47de9d...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hans Niemann" at 77%, followed by "Hikaru Nakamura" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Oct 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" is "Hans Niemann" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 77¢ for "Hans Niemann" in the "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 77% chance that "Hans Niemann" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 77¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 23¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Nov 17, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3

Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (1)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

What are the current odds for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

How will "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" be resolved?

Can I follow "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

What does a price of 77¢ for "Hans Niemann" mean?

When does the "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" market close?

What are traders saying about "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

What is Polymarket?

Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3

Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Comments (1)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

What are the current odds for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

How will "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" be resolved?

Can I follow "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

What does a price of 77¢ for "Hans Niemann" mean?

When does the "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3" market close?

What are traders saying about "Titled Tuesday Winner: November 3"?

What is Polymarket?