Recent polling has positioned the Liberal–National Coalition as the clear frontrunner to secure the largest share of seats in Victoria’s Legislative Council at the 28 November election. Late October surveys, including Roy Morgan and Newspoll, show the Coalition leading Labor by roughly 10 points on a two-party preferred basis, with primary support near 30 percent compared with Labor’s 24 percent and One Nation’s 22 percent. The shift reflects sustained voter movement away from the incumbent government since mid-2026. Under the proportional representation system across eight five-member regions, these figures translate into projected Coalition gains that outpace other parties, though One Nation retains a meaningful presence and the Greens remain competitive in metropolitan areas. With one month until polling, trader pricing aligns with this evidence of Coalition momentum in the upper house contest.