Avengers: Doomsday’s record-shattering presales—already exceeding $65 million domestically and $125 million worldwide with roughly 50 days until its December 18 release—have driven trader consensus toward a narrow edge over Spider-Man: Brand New Day. The latter holds the current domestic opening-weekend benchmark at approximately $360 million from its July debut, yet Doomsday’s velocity in premium formats and global advance sales positions it to challenge or surpass that mark despite same-day competition from Dune: Messiah. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, slated for November 20, and Dune itself register negligible implied probabilities given their scale relative to the two MCU and Sony tentpoles. Upcoming tracking updates and final presale momentum through November will serve as key swing factors in this closely contested market.