Traders assign overwhelming probability against any US territorial acquisition from Greenland this year due to the absence of active diplomatic negotiations or formal proposals between Washington and Copenhagen. Greenland remains an autonomous Danish territory with strong local and national opposition to sovereignty transfers, reinforced by longstanding Danish policy treating the island as non-negotiable. Structural barriers include the need for Danish parliamentary approval, potential US congressional action, and alignment with NATO alliance norms that discourage such transactions among members. No recent executive statements, legislative initiatives, or economic developments have altered this baseline. Rare shifts could still emerge from sudden bilateral talks triggered by fiscal crises in Denmark or major security realignments, though none are currently signaled within the resolution window.