FIFA’s decision to delay selecting the 2030 World Cup final venue until 2028, consistent with its timeline for the 2026 final, keeps “Other / Unconfirmed by 2028” as the leading outcome at 46.5%. This reflects ongoing competition among co-hosts Morocco, Spain, and Portugal, with no resolution despite claims from federation officials. Moroccan statements in late 2026 asserting the final at the new 115,000-capacity Hassan II Stadium near Casablanca have supported that city’s 22.3% share, citing its size and adaptability. Madrid’s Bernabéu sits at 16.4% due to the Spanish federation’s emphasis on organizational experience and Spain hosting the most matches, though Barcelona’s Camp Nou remains marginal at 0.4% despite comparable capacity. Portuguese venues trail at 0.4% given smaller stadium sizes. Recent political positioning and FIFA’s neutral statements on timing continue to shape trader consensus around uncertainty.