The race for Arizona's 2nd Congressional District between Republican incumbent Eli Crane and Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez remains highly competitive days before the November 3 election. Recent polling, including an Emerson College survey showing Nez at 50% and Crane at 48%, has kept the contest within a narrow band, consistent with trader emphasis on 3-6 point Republican or sub-3 point Democratic margins. A rural district with Republican registration advantages but shifting unaffiliated and Native American voter dynamics, combined with elevated outside spending from both parties, sustains the tightness. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up or lean Republican, with turnout among key blocs and late campaign focus on border security, water resources, and household costs likely to determine final separation.