James Uthmeier holds the lead in the Florida attorney general race as the Republican incumbent appointed in early 2025, with recent polling showing him ahead of Democrat José Javier Rodríguez by margins of 5 to 11 points in surveys conducted in late October. Florida’s substantial Republican voter registration edge, combined with Uthmeier’s endorsements from President Trump and law enforcement groups, supports his position ahead of the November 3 election. Campaign finance data indicates Uthmeier maintains a significant fundraising advantage, while Rodríguez has centered his bid on consumer costs, public safety, and scrutiny of the Hope Florida initiative. Late-cycle polls reflect narrowing but persistent leads for the incumbent, aligning with trader consensus favoring Uthmeier at higher implied probabilities. Early voting results and undecided voter trends remain key variables in the final days.