The race for the most elected-official signatures ahead of the 2027 French presidential ballot remains tightly contested among center-right and centrist figures, with Bruno Retailleau holding the highest implied probability at 40 percent, followed by David Lisnard at 26 percent and Édouard Philippe at 21.5 percent. Early positioning within Les Républicains and allied local networks has produced no dominant frontrunner, as candidates compete for parrainages from mayors, regional councilors, and parliamentarians under rules requiring 500 validated endorsements. Recent local endorsements and party congress maneuvering have kept probabilities clustered, while lower-priced names such as Raphaël Glucksmann reflect narrower bases. Upcoming regional votes, coalition announcements, or high-profile mayoral switches could widen gaps before the signature deadline.