Vicente Ada secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with 60.5% of the vote against Frank Blas Jr., positioning his ticket with Edward Calvo as the frontrunner ahead of the November 3 general election. Therese Terlaje advanced narrowly as the Democratic nominee with 47.75% in her primary against Joshua Tenorio. Reader polls conducted by the Pacific Daily News in September and October show consistent leads for Ada-Calvo over Terlaje-Perez, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in prediction market pricing. Recent candidate forums and debates have focused on healthcare infrastructure, hospital construction plans, economic diversification, and housing, with both tickets emphasizing the need for a new medical facility while differing on implementation timelines and priorities. Recovery efforts following Super Typhoon Champi in October have not shifted the race dynamics, as early voting concludes later this month.