Otzma Yehudit’s consistent performance in late-October polling averages and early election results has anchored trader consensus around the 5.5-6.5% band. Pre-election surveys from multiple houses placed the party at roughly seven to eight Knesset seats, equating to that vote-share range, while exit polls and partial counts after the October 27 vote confirmed approximately 5.5% so far. Attempts to disqualify the list were rejected by the Central Elections Committee and High Court, removing a key downside risk. Final certification of double-envelope ballots remains, but historical patterns and current tallies indicate limited scope for material movement outside the leading interval.