Recent polling averages and exit polls positioned the Religious Zionism–Zehut joint list near six Knesset seats, mapping directly to the 5–6 percent vote-share bracket that now commands 97 percent trader consensus. The September 2026 technical alliance with Zehut consolidated nationalist and libertarian-leaning religious voters, while a surplus-vote agreement with Likud further stabilized the tally. Strong support in West Bank settlements and among traditional religious-Zionist constituencies has kept the list well above the 3.25 percent threshold throughout the campaign. With final certification scheduled for November 4, only an unusually large swing in the remaining double-envelope ballots or successful court intervention could realistically shift the outcome outside the current bracket.