The Reservists–Economic Party's final tally of 2.72% in the October 27, 2026, Knesset election anchors the market's strong consensus on a sub-2.75% outcome. Pre-election polling placed the Hendel-Zelekha list near or below the 3.25% threshold amid competition from larger Zionist parties, limited crossover from reservist voters, and the earlier collapse of an alliance with Hili Tropper. Regular ballots yielded roughly 2.6%, with double-envelope military votes providing only a modest lift to 3.87%—still insufficient overall. Official counts now confirm the result across nearly all ballots. Late procedural adjustments or verified discrepancies in remaining envelopes represent the narrowest paths to any upward revision.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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