High voter engagement in Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election produced confirmed turnout near 77.8%, the highest in over two decades, locking in overwhelming trader consensus for the 74%+ outcome. Intense polarization between the Netanyahu-aligned bloc and opposition parties, combined with post-2023 security concerns and strong mobilization across Arab communities, ultra-Orthodox sectors, and younger voters, drove participation well above the recent 70% baseline. Record special-ballot volumes and early polling-station data reinforced the elevated figure. Only a substantial downward revision during the final count of double-envelope votes or unresolved disputes could alter the result, an outcome traders currently assign negligible probability.