The completed October 27 Israeli legislative election results show Likud securing roughly 20.5% of the national vote, outpacing Yashar by more than four points and establishing a clear margin exceeding 3%. This performance exceeded many pre-election forecasts for the largest party, reflecting consolidated support within the right-wing and religious voter base despite the bloc falling short of a 61-seat Knesset majority. Arab parties captured a record share, but their votes did not narrow the Likud-Yashar gap. With all ballots tallied and the Central Elections Committee finalizing certification, traders assign overwhelming probability to the established margin. Late verification disputes or recounts represent the primary residual risks that could theoretically adjust the precise percentage differential before official publication.