Lai Jui-lung leads the Kaohsiung mayoral race at 71.5% on Polymarket, ahead of Ko Chih-en at 26.8%, with all other candidates below 1%. The DPP nominee benefits from the party's long dominance in the city, support from outgoing Mayor Chen Chi-mai, and his legislative record plus city government experience. Ko, the KMT challenger, has gained visibility through rallies with Legislative Speaker Han Kuo-yu and an Oct. 30 televised debate focused on the former 205th Arsenal redevelopment, revenue-sharing funds, political donations, and calls for greater oversight. Recent polling shows a close contest around 43% each, yet trader pricing aligns with structural advantages for the incumbent-party candidate ahead of the Nov. 28 vote.