President Lee Jae-myung holds office until 2030 and benefits from constitutional immunity shielding sitting presidents from criminal prosecution except in cases of insurrection or treason. Ongoing trials tied to prior land development and election law charges remain suspended, while recent parliamentary statements from senior prosecutors confirm no active review of arrests or indictment withdrawals. Reforms shifting investigative authority away from prosecutors who pursued those cases further reduce near-term enforcement risks. Traders assign a 96.1 percent implied probability to no arrest before 2027, reflecting these institutional barriers. Potential shifts could arise from successful impeachment proceedings, voluntary resignation, or new charges meeting the narrow constitutional exceptions, though none appear imminent based on current legislative and judicial dynamics.