Rafael López Aliaga's Renovación Popular list holds a roughly 49,000-vote lead over Francis Allison's Avanza País after the October 4 election, with over 99.98% of tallies processed and no second round possible following the withdrawal of related appeals. This margin underpins his 73.1% market price as the leading outcome. However, constitutional limits on immediate mayoral re-election create uncertainty, since López Aliaga served the prior term before resigning and now heads the list as first councilor after the original mayoral candidate withdrew. The Jurado Nacional de Elecciones is expected to decide credential issuance in December, which could assign the post to the second councilor instead. Other candidates trail far behind in votes and pricing, reflecting the settled vote distribution.