Incumbent Democrat Maura Healey maintains a consistent polling lead of 23–28 points over Republican challenger Mike Minogue in the final days before the November 3 election, reflecting Massachusetts’s strong Democratic lean and the incumbent’s established position. Recent surveys from UMass Lowell, Suffolk University, and others show Healey at 57–59% among likely voters, with limited movement despite Minogue’s substantial self-funding and debate performances. Trader consensus on the margin buckets centers on 20–30 point Democratic victories, aligning with these aggregates and historical patterns in the state. An internal Republican poll suggested a narrower gap, yet public data and prediction-market pricing for a Republican win remain low. Late developments such as turnout shifts among independents or unexpected scandals could still alter the final spread before polls close.