Netanyahu's bloc secured 53 Knesset seats and the main opposition bloc 48 in the October 27, 2026, election, leaving both short of the 61-seat majority needed to form a government. Arab-led parties won a record 19 seats but face explicit opposition from leaders in the Eisenkot bloc, including pledges against relying on their support or abstentions for a minority arrangement. Coalition talks center instead on possible unity governments, defections from rival blocs, or ultra-Orthodox abstentions, while campaign commitments and post-October 2023 sensitivities limit minority options. President Herzog will assign formation duties after November 4 results certification, with a 28-day window plus extension. Traders see these structural barriers and party positions as reducing the likelihood of a minority government.