Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding lead in the NH-02 House race as the Democratic incumbent, reflected in trader consensus at 96.5 percent. Consistent polling averages from sources including Saint Anselm College and the University of New Hampshire show her ahead by 15–21 points among likely voters, supported by a district partisan lean and her prior 2024 victory over the same Republican opponent by six points. Stronger fundraising, with over $4.8 million raised compared to Lily Tang Williams’s $1.4 million, has enabled broader outreach ahead of the November 3 election. Recent debates in late October produced no measurable shifts in positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited at this stage and would require major late developments such as unexpected scandals or turnout anomalies.
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