Recent polling in Minnesota's 2026 races shows Amy Klobuchar holding wider leads over Republican Lisa Demuth in the gubernatorial contest than Peggy Flanagan maintains over Michele Tafoya in the open Senate seat. Aggregates place Klobuchar ahead by roughly 9 points on average, while Flanagan leads by about 4 points in most surveys, with one high-rated outlier at 14 points. This consistent gap in margins has concentrated trader consensus on Flanagan finishing 0-3 or 3-6 points behind Klobuchar's performance. Late-cycle polls and internal surveys released in the final week have reinforced the pattern without major shifts, as both candidates benefit from the state's Democratic baseline but Flanagan faces a narrower path in the Senate matchup.