Recent polling averages place the combined support for Spain’s Partido Popular and Vox near or just above 50 percent of the vote, sustaining a narrow edge in trader assessments of an outright majority share ahead of the November 29 snap election. The PP has seen modest erosion in recent surveys while Vox has edged higher, offsetting the decline and preserving the bloc’s position despite PSOE gains that have narrowed the lead between the two largest parties. A Senate coordination agreement between the parties has reinforced perceptions of right-wing unity, though it does not directly alter national vote projections. Final-week shifts in turnout, late campaign momentum, or further movement between the PP and Vox could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
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