Recent polling averages project Vox at 18.9–19.4% of the vote for Spain’s snap general election on November 29, translating to roughly 65–70 seats in the 350-seat Congress, more than double its 33 seats from 2023. This positioning stems from sustained gains since the October 5 dissolution, with Vox drawing support from former PP voters and abstention pools while maintaining high vote fidelity. The PP-Vox bloc consistently reaches 195–205 seats in simulations, securing an absolute majority in over 95% of scenarios. Trader consensus around the 56–65 seat range reflects ongoing volatility in the final campaign month, regional seat allocation swings in provinces such as Madrid, Barcelona, and Murcia, and the impact of turnout and late shifts between the two right-wing parties. Further PP erosion or stronger mobilization on the right could push Vox higher, while any left-wing consolidation might compress its totals.