Chiang Wan-an maintains a trader consensus lead in the November 28 Taipei mayoral election due to incumbency advantages in infrastructure projects, AI investment, and MRT expansions, even as recent polls show a tightening race. Puma Shen has gained ground among younger voters and former third-party supporters through policy platforms on housing, water management, and urban renewal, boosted by his performance in the October 31 debate. Minor candidates like Kuo Hsi register negligible support. The four-point polling gap in late October surveys underscores the role of undecided independents and turnout in this KMT-leaning city, where trader pricing reflects both historical patterns and the impact of late-campaign momentum shifts.