No major-party contender has formally declared a 2028 presidential bid as of early November 2026, though several figures have signaled they are weighing runs. Vice President JD Vance leads Republican polling and market pricing as the presumptive frontrunner, while Democrats such as Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez top early surveys and are actively campaigning for midterm candidates. Most serious announcements historically occur after midterms and throughout 2027, with exploratory activity already visible in fundraising, travel to early states, and public comments. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning will shape the field, as will any late decisions by sitting officials or shifts in polling. Minor candidates have filed with the FEC, but the core contest remains open.
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