Recent diplomatic activity has centered on U.S.-mediated trilateral talks at the delegation level in Abu Dhabi, scheduled around November 2026, after Putin’s October meetings with envoy Steve Witkoff. Putin has reiterated that any direct encounter with Zelenskyy requires substantial prior agreements or occur in Moscow, conditions Ukraine continues to reject. Ukrainian statements emphasize lower-level negotiations on security guarantees, energy, and prisoner exchanges while noting the leaders’ last meeting occurred in 2019. Ongoing battlefield operations, differing territorial demands, and insistence on preconditions have sustained the view among traders that a bilateral summit remains unlikely before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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