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Macro dashboard

Macro dashboard

US recession by end of 2027? - image

US recession by end of 2027?

32% chance
US recession by end of 2026? - image

US recession by end of 2026?

6% chance

Economy

Another Fed rate hike in 2026? - image

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

70%

chance

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? - image

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

12%

chance

-

chance

Key Elections

      Geopolitics

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - image

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

      18%

      chance

      Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? - image

      Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

      8%

      chance

      Macro dashboard

      US recession by end of 2027? - image

      US recession by end of 2027?

      Polymarket
      32% chance
      Polymarket
      US recession by end of 2026? - image

      US recession by end of 2026?

      Polymarket
      6% chance
      Polymarket

      Economy

      Polymarket
      Another Fed rate hike in 2026? - image

      Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

      70%

      chance

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? - image

      Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

      12%

      chance

      -

      chance

      Geopolitics

      Polymarket
      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? - image

      Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

      18%

      chance

      Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? - image

      Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

      8%

      chance