The New Hampshire Senate race remains tightly contested heading into the November 3 election because an open seat has produced a modest but consistent polling edge for Democrat Chris Pappas over Republican John Sununu, with recent surveys showing Pappas at 49-50% and Sununu at 42-44%. New Hampshire's large share of unaffiliated voters, divided regional preferences, and history of narrow outcomes keep implied probabilities balanced across small-to-moderate margins. Late shifts in turnout, particularly among independents and older voters, or any final campaign developments could still alter the result within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved



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