KMT incumbency across 15 of Taiwan’s 22 localities underpins trader expectations that the party will secure the most local government heads in the November 28 nine-in-one elections, despite the DPP holding national power. Recent surveys show DPP favorability rising and President Lai Ching-te’s approval reaching a multi-month high, with some polls indicating the DPP could capture at least 11 seats, yet these gains have not shifted the overall seat projection enough to challenge KMT structural advantages. Tight races in Taipei and Kaohsiung, including recent candidate debates and narrowing margins between KMT incumbents and DPP challengers, highlight swing-voter influence, while the TPP remains marginal with negligible projected impact. The resolution hinges on official results for mayors and magistrates across special municipalities, counties, and cities.