**Strong audience reception and Halloween timing anchor the market’s overwhelming consensus around a 10–12 million second-weekend gross.** Released October 23 into 3,458 theaters, Clayface opened to roughly $24 million domestically on a modest $44 million budget, earning an A– CinemaScore that stands out for R-rated horror and signaling solid word-of-mouth among its young, 18–34 core audience. Cumulative domestic totals reached about $36.9 million within the first week, while the film’s practical body-horror effects and revenge-driven origin story have generated favorable industry chatter relative to higher-profile DC disappointments earlier in the year. With the second frame falling on Halloween weekend, the timing favors genre holdover strength, supporting the market’s view of steady rather than explosive legs. An upset below $10 million would require sharper-than-expected drops from competition or weaker holiday turnout, while anything above $12 million would need unusually robust word-of-mouth carryover.