Recent polling aggregates place the Green Party in the mid-teens on party vote, ahead of ACT and New Zealand First, which both hover near 10 percent, while Labour and National remain closely matched in the upper twenties. This positioning supports expectations that the Greens will secure the third-highest seat total once overhang and electorate results are finalized. Minor shifts in late October surveys, including modest gains for ACT and New Zealand First alongside stable Green numbers, have reinforced rather than altered the ordering among smaller parties. Opportunity Party support near or below the five-percent threshold limits its prospects for displacing the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori remains focused on electorate seats with negligible party-vote share. Traders reflect this stable hierarchy in current pricing.