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Breaking World News & Predictions

Nov 1, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?

99%
83%
2
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?

Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?

99%
80%
3
icon for Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

100%
33%
4
icon for Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?

100%
31%
5
icon for Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?

Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?

23%
23%
6
icon for Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?

62%
23%
7
icon for Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?

8%
23%
8
icon for Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

15%
20%
9
icon for Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

17%
17%
10
icon for Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?

Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?

41%
15%
11
icon for Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?

87%
14%
12
icon for Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?

Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?

40%
13%
13
icon for Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

43%
10%
14
icon for US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

14%
10%
15
icon for Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

26%
9%
16
icon for Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

26%
8%
17
icon for Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

14%
8%
18
icon for Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?

Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?

45%
8%
19
icon for Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?

48%
8%
20
icon for Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

74%
7%
21
icon for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

28%
7%
22
icon for Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

16%
6%
23
icon for Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?

16%
6%
24
icon for US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?

91%
6%
25
icon for US imports Russian diesel by November 15?

US imports Russian diesel by November 15?

40%
6%

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