Breaking World News & Predictions
Nov 1, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
99%
83%
2

Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by at least 12%?
99%
80%
3


Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
100%
33%
4

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?
100%
31%
5

Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?
23%
23%
6


Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?
62%
23%
7

Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
8%
23%
8


Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
15%
20%
9

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
17%
17%
10


Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?
41%
15%
11


Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
87%
14%
12

Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?
40%
13%
13


Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
43%
10%
14

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
14%
10%
15

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
26%
9%
16

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
26%
8%
17


Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
14%
8%
18

Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
45%
8%
19

Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?
48%
8%
20

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
74%
7%
21

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
28%
7%
22

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
16%
6%
23

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
16%
6%
24

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
91%
6%
25

US imports Russian diesel by November 15?
40%
6%