Recent election results on October 27 left Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc with 53 Knesset seats and Gadi Eisenkot’s opposition bloc with 48, short of a 61-seat majority. Arab parties holding 19 seats have signaled they will recommend Eisenkot during President Isaac Herzog’s consultations beginning November 2, projecting roughly 60 endorsements for Eisenkot versus about 46 for Netanyahu. Under Israeli procedure, Herzog assigns the initial 28-day mandate (extendable by 14 days) to the candidate with the strongest parliamentary backing. Eisenkot’s Yashar party has outlined coalition conditions centered on national service, a state inquiry into October 7, and dismantling Hamas capabilities. These factors have produced trader consensus that Eisenkot will receive the first mandate, while other figures lack comparable endorsement momentum.
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