Ukrainian forces have conducted incremental counteroffensives in the Oleksandrivka and Hulyaipole directions of Zaporizhzhia Oblast through late October 2026, liberating nearby settlements such as Perebudova, Komar, and Fedorivka while pressuring Russian logistics. These gains forced limited Russian redeployments of naval infantry and armor units but have not extended to Obratne or Temyrivka, which Russian forces consolidated control over earlier in the year amid broader Donbas offensives. High attrition rates, Russian defensive reinforcements, and Ukrainian focus on disrupting enemy supply lines elsewhere sustain the trader consensus reflected in near-certain NO pricing for re-entry by December 31. Any shift would require confirmed ISW-mapped advances in the specific villages amid ongoing frontline clashes.