Ongoing US-mediated negotiations under the June 2026 trilateral framework link any phased IDF redeployment from southern Lebanon to verified Hezbollah disarmament, infrastructure dismantlement, and expanded Lebanese Armed Forces control in designated pilot zones. The most recent Tampa talks produced no advances on a full ceasefire, border demarcation, or prisoner issues, while Israeli operations and demolitions continue in occupied areas. Lebanon’s October elections yielded no decisive shift in policy, and the UNIFIL mandate expires in December, raising questions about third-party monitoring. Israel has signaled readiness for limited handovers by mid-February but disputes persist over remaining positions, leaving implementation dependent on verifiable security conditions and diplomatic follow-through in the coming months.
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