Jair Bolsonaro’s 27-year sentence for coup plotting, now final with rights suspended until at least 2030, requires either an individual presidential grace after a new inauguration or congressional amnesty legislation to be lifted. Legal experts note that even a decree signed immediately on January 5, 2027, would face notification and review by the Supreme Court, particularly Justice Alexandre de Moraes, creating delays beyond procedural formalities. Recent STF enforcement actions against other family members and the tight post-election timeline to March 31, 2027, reinforce the view that institutional checks and potential opposition in the Court limit rapid resolution, aligning with the current trader consensus on low probability.